Alabama: The one sure thing in a world where nothing’s certain

Alabama head coach Nick Saban works the sideline in the second half of an NCAA college football game against LSU in Baton Rouge, La., Saturday, Nov. 5, 2016. Alabama won 10-0. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)

The best ever? Probably. (AP Photo/Gerald Herbert)

As we learned Tuesday night, there’s no such thing as a sure thing. (And I’m not talking about the Hawks winning in Cleveland.) But I’ve come to regard Alabama as the closest thing to an absolute certainty in our ever-changing world.

It’s possible the Tide could lose before the College Football Playoff. It’s possible they could lose in the semifinal or the championship game. Possible, but not nearly probable.

Before the polls closed last night, FiveThirtyEight gave the candidate who’s now President-Elect a 28.6 percent chance of winning. As we speak, I’d give Alabama a 99.9 percent chance of being the national champ.

I realize that Bama can and does lose, albeit on rare occasions. It has finished unbeaten only — word “only” used advisedly — once under Nick Saban. It could, I guess, lose to Auburn two days after Thanksgiving. It could lose to the SEC East champ in the Georgia Dome. But let’s be honest: Do you really, truly see that happening?

LSU held Alabama scoreless through three quarters Saturday; it lost by 10 points. Texas A&M led Bama 14-13 in the third quarter last month; the Aggies lost 33-14. Ole Miss took a 24-3 lead on the Tide with 2:43 remaining in the second quarter on Sept. 17; the Rebels trailed after three quarters. Clemson had Bama reeling in the CFP title tilt in January; Nick Saban called for an onside kick and that was that.

I covered my first college football game in 1976. I’ve seen great teams. I’ve seen great Alabama teams. I’ve never seen one as confident as this — even with a new quarterback, something that has now become a Bama staple; even with a new defensive coordinator in Jeremy Pruitt. If you want to call Alabama under Saban the best program in the history of the sport, I wouldn’t argue.

The second set of CFP ratings were revealed Tuesday night. (Admittedly, while many among us were watching something else.) Bama was No. 1. Bama will be No. 1 when the field of four is set in December. Bama figures to be No. 1 when the playing is done. I really can’t see this season ending any other way.

Reader Comments 0

32 comments
forexbomb
forexbomb

The one sure thing... Is that, there is NO sure thing...

OH:IO
OH:IO

SEC! SEC!


What a great teacher of young men:



Alabama head football coach Nick Saban says he was unaware that Tuesday was Election Day as millions of other Americans voted to elect the next president of the United States.

Donald Trump ended up beating Hillary Clinton to become president-elect in a surprising upset.

"It was so important to me that I didn't even know it was happening," Saban said. "We're focused on other things here."

TideDawg
TideDawg

@OH:IO Yeah! I believe that. I also heard it on talk radio. What Saban says sometimes is like a fake handoff and a deep pass down the sideline. One thing you can count on with Saban his players know exactly what he means when he says it and when they get on the field they know exactly what to do. Those that don't transfer to another school.

OH:IO
OH:IO

5 or 6,


Western Michigan is still ranked


dogs?


Un

Buschleaguer
Buschleaguer

@OH:IO

Damn, captain obvious ! what is your point? the dogs have a 5-4 record and directional michigan is undefeated in leading the B1G lite(MAC) conference. 

TideDawg
TideDawg

@Buschleaguer @OH:IOOH:IO But-eye has no point. He's a complete circle of insults, insanity, and incompetence. Add to that....delusional envy of the SEC.

TideDawg
TideDawg

@OH:IO @TideDawg @Buschleaguer WM is a good team. I watched them play last weekend. They will draw a good opponent in the bowl games. Then we'll know what quality team they are and if they deserve that rank. Personally I think they can give a lot of ranked teams trouble. As a matter of fact they can probably beat OSU but-eyes. There are conferences looking to expand. I don't know the enrollment at WM but as far as football goes, they should be considered to move up from MAC.

TideDawg
TideDawg

The only thing Saban worries about is his players reading crap like Bradley's article and believing it. Alabama is going to lose some great players to the NFL. I can almost guarantee that the Tide is already preparing a depth chart for 2017.

TideDawg
TideDawg

I don't like the article! I would rather save the cheering until Alabama does accomplish those wins. Alabama is pretty good but kids 18-20 yrs. old get that in their head and they end up losing one they should win. As of today Alabama is good. If they finish the job and win the NC......then and only then will they be great.

KeepOnSmilingWetWillie
KeepOnSmilingWetWillie

SettleDown Jeff. I was at that 1976 Bama vs UGA in Athens and it was 21-0 for the Dawgs. I was closer to scoring that day than Bama but I had my wife with me.


If Bama is able to bring that Big Trophy home in Jan then we can talk.  The Process is win The Day and then look to do the same Tomorrow. Anything more is just clutter.


Roll Tide

TOJacket
TOJacket

Were you just wearing shields then? LOL!!!

TOJacket
TOJacket

Only way Bama will lose is if they help the other team win

OH:IO
OH:IO

Anyone notice Penn State is #10?


W. Michigan is ranked?


Where oh where are the dogs?

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO 

Penn St sure as hell wasn't #10 when they drilled your worthless a*s as a 20-pt underDawg.

OH:IO
OH:IO

"I really can’t see this season ending any other way."


That's why they play the game (See Hillary).

OH:IO
OH:IO

" It could lose to the SEC East champ in the Georgia Dome. But let’s be honest: Do you really, truly see that happening?"


Really, Bradley?

OH:IO
OH:IO

Wow, dog in an hole, I got this Bradly right! 

bobbyross1990
bobbyross1990

So, Clemson has no shot, mark? Is it their last minute heroics at times? 

Contractor1
Contractor1

Alabama is not NC State or even Florida State. We showed that one mistake can cost you the game like the long scramble for Hurts late in the game on third down. I can't stand Mark Bradley and consider this article a bit much. We are good, very good, but we can lose just as easily as the next team.

Mulk
Mulk

@Contractor1 Agree. Bama is good regardless of whom they've played. But I would like to see them go on the road (like they do when play LSU every other year) and play Ohio St., Michigan or Clemson on a home and home basis. Then, if they beat one of those teams by 20, that team might possibly be considered to have a "good" loss and still be in the top 10 like A&M. How does the committee overlook the loss to Missy St?


I'm not inferring that Bama doesn't play anybody but it does appear that the other teams get credit for playing them whether you play them well or not.

Buschleaguer
Buschleaguer

@Mulk @Contractor1 I doubt Bama would mind playing Ohio St., Clemson ,Michigan or any other Power 5 team on a neutral field opening game. But it is unlikely that Bama or any other top rated Power 5 team would schedule a home and home series during their conference play. I know Ohio State played Oklahoma this year ,but it was after two pre season games vs. Ball State and Tulsa.