The smart money is on Smart and UGA

"Sky's the limit, folks." (Rob Saye/Special to the AJC)

“You think 10 wins is too high?” (Rob Saye/Special to the AJC)

As noted not long ago, the sharp-eyed folks in Vegas set the over/under on wins for Georgia at 9 1/2. For a team playing under a new coach that went 9-3 in its regular season last season, that might have sounded high.

As also noted, I’m on record — here and, more recently and in greater detail, here as well — as picking Georgia to go 10-2, which means I’m taking the “over.” (Or would be if I actually bet, which I never ever do.) This week, courtesy of faithful correspondent Jimmy Shapiro, I find that I’m not alone.

According to Mr. Shapiro, the heaviest bets coming into the sports book Bovada on the “over” are for Alabama at 9 1/2, Michigan at 10 1/2 and — pause for effect — Georgia at 9 1/2. By way of contrast, the heaviest bets on the “under” are for Boise State at 11, Ole Miss at 9 1/2 and Auburn at 7 1/2. At last check, Georgia is scheduled to play the latter two.

A word or two about the above: Nearly a month ago, I circled Alabama as an “over” and Auburn as an “under.” When’s the last time Bama didn’t win 10 regular-season games? (Answer: 2010, when it won nine.) Given the Tigers’ schedule, I’m not sure they win more than six.

As for Ole Miss: It could lose three games — to Florida State, Alabama and Georgia — in September and would still have to play at LSU and Texas A&M. As for Boise: If it can beat Washington State, it has a real chance of going undefeated. As for Michigan: If it splits with Michigan State and Ohio State, it should hit its “over.” (FWIW, I have the Wolverines in the College Football Playoff, along with Clemson, Alabama and Oklahoma.)

Back to Georgia: Even with a new coach, this cannot be seen as a classic Rebuilding Season. There’s too much talent on hand, and the schedule is too inviting. Maybe that’s why Kirby Smart seems wrapped extra tight — if he doesn’t break double figures in Year 1, it will be viewed in some circles (Las Vegas included) as a disappointment.

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171 comments
TideDawg
TideDawg

I watched Saban's latest interview. Kirby needs to get a coke bottle to answer Atlanta Sports writers stupid questions. Same questions, over, and over....set the bar now, Kirby, or you'll get this crap forever.

Big Wally
Big Wally

hey Blowhio, I keep looking at that November schedule you keep bragging about.  The first two games in November are against Nebraska and Maryland. Wow I hope you can survive those powerhouses.  You have to be at your best against Mich. State.  You know, your conference playoff representative last year, who, Bama scored what 200 points on.  



OH:IO
OH:IO

dog in lex,


Urban had zero to do with Hernandez committing murder......in Boston.......as a Patriot. 


Have a nice 8-4 season and get ready your annual toilet bowl. 

DawginLex
DawginLex

@OH:IO  Enjoy defending a slimeball who has now hired a pedophile enabler. I don't care about W/L records when it comes to doing the right thing. Apparently Urban doesn't care and you support him. And if you think Urban didn't know about Hernandez in Gainesville, you are an idiot.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO

Of course he did, lying hypocrite.

Had he booted Hernandez of the fla team for his indiscretions there, his life may well have taken a different turn.

But he didn't boot him; he coddled him, because your head coach is a documented lying scumbag--you know, kind of like you're a documented lying hypocrite.

OH:IO
OH:IO

Nichols State vs, the dogs is nothing but a tune up for  Nichols State vs. Incarnate Word. 

OH:IO
OH:IO

@DawgNole


Well, excuuuuuuuuuuuse me. Still beyond a cupcake, dog in a hole. 

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO

Did I say it wasn't a cupcake?

Stop deflecting.

You're not excused, and you're still an ignoramus.

OH:IO
OH:IO

dogs really are delusional. 


Bloviating and puffing their chest about the opening game, vs. the ACC mind you. 


Yet they finish vs. UL La(la) and another ACC team they've beaten regularly for a while now. 


Give me a break.


SEC! SEC! 



DawginLex
DawginLex


@OH:IO  Shutup moron and keep trying to defend your serial killer enabling head coach who now has a pedophile enabler on his staff. Classy bunch you got there. Just shutup and go drown yourself


DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO

You're lying again. 

They finish with GT.

And it's not U "Louisiana Louisiana" Lafayette. 

That last one continues to fly right over you, doesn't it, dolt?

OH:IO
OH:IO

@DawgNole @OH:IO


Quite a finish. 


Will certainly impress the Committee and those selecting toilet bowls. 

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO"Yet they finish vs. UL La(la) . . . ."

___________________

Do I have to explain again?



Big Wally
Big Wally

Out of 14 teams, the Big Mac Conference had all of 3 teams dare to play games vs teams from the other Power 5 Conferences this weekend.


By comparison, the SEC has 9 teams playing teams from the other Power 5 Conferences (and yes I counted SC vs Vandy).


Way to man up there Big Mac Conference.  Proud opening weekend scheduling.  Hey Blowhio, maybe you should ship some of your Viagra pills to some of those AD's up there. 

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Stop. You will hurt his little ten feelings. I mean tech.

OH:IO
OH:IO

@Big Wally


Care to review the late November cupcakes in the SEC! SEC!? 


How about profiling Nichols State? UL Lala? 


Thought not. 


Good try though

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO @Big Wally

Care to better yourself by no longer posting fabrications?

It's not "Nichols" State. Nor is it U "Louisiana Louisiana" Lafayette.

Dumba**.

Big Wally
Big Wally

Headline "Urban Meyer ‘doesn’t agree’ with Torrance Gibson’s suspension"

Coming from the same low life that recruited (and kept eligible) future triple convicted murderer Aaron Hernandez, should we really be shocked by Urban Meyer's response? 


Nice to see that at least 1 person in the Blowio State's Ath. Dept. has some integrity.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

He has no answer other than the 5 or 6 same rants from the past two seasons since his dumb @$& showed up on here. Just a tech fan in hiding anyway. You start going at tech hard enough on here and his true colors shine through.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@twelveofthirteen

You oughta seem him puff up when you point out his hypocrisy, factual errors, and unending posting illiteracy.

Big Wally
Big Wally

Let's look at some of the great matchups this Weekend of top 25 teams:

Oklahoma #3 vs Houston #15,

NC #22 vs UGA #18,

USC #20 vs Bama #1,

Ole Miss #11 vs FSU #4

Let's see, I see the SEC with 3 teams represented.  I see the ACC with 2 teams,  I see the Big 12 with 1 team, I see the PAC 12 with 1 team, I even see AAC with 1 team. But where is the Big Mac Conference?  Paging Big Mac Conference?  Bueller?  Bueller?

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Exactly. Free tat u could not handle the opening weekend stress. Chest pains.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Bowling green. How exciting. Ratings will be right there with the Ireland high school offense game. Two peas in a pod.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO

You're STILL missing it, and I'm STILL waiting.

ULL. Not ULLL!

Mental cripple.

MikeS777
MikeS777

The irony is Mark Richt gets fired for not winning championships at a UGA program with no championship history despite winning 10+ games in 10 of his 15 years.  No one under the age of 38 legitimately remembers watching Herschel Walker play haha.

A few days later, he's hired by a Miami program that has played for 8 national championships between 1983 and 2002, won 5 of them, and is one of a half dozen or so programs that has the championship history to ever look at a coach and say "OK, now its time to bring the national championship back home."

BTW, Herbstreit has UGA on upset alert haha.   He thinks, UNC's offense is going to roll.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@MikeS777

And you'll be delighted if UNC beats UGA, won't you, two-face?

MikeS777
MikeS777

@DawgNole @MikeS777  No but I'd be lying if I didn't say I'll be happy when the UGA delusion of grandeur gets put to rest.  Or will everyone be calling for Smart to be fired in 3 years if he doesn't do any better than Richt?

SkokieDog
SkokieDog

@MikeS777 You seem to overlook the fact that Mark Richt continued as head coach at Georgia for TEN YEARS after winning the last of his teams' conference championships. I doubt that anyone who follows U.Ga. football believes that Kirby Smart's teams will play so horribly in his first three seasons as head coach that he is likely to be dismissed. 

But, hey, let's watch the games that are yet to be played, then decide who deserves congratulations. 

OH:IO
OH:IO

12/13 is a 350 wannabee

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

UGA grad stole your milk money again?

#obsessedclosetnerd

Jokurone
Jokurone

I am picking them in the playoffs!

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Gibson playing Saturday against Bowling green? Oh the ratings. September barn burner. Way to man up.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Hey Tech fans can't wait to watch the 7:30am kickoff against your ACC 3-9 rival BC. Two 3-9 teams facing off in Ireland from the crappy coastal. Ratings will be through the roof. Almost as many people will watch the bowling green game. Hahahahaha pathetic!

OH:IO
OH:IO

I'm still laughing about the Gov Cup. 

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

And we all laugh everyday at your pathetic rants on here techeye.

Grant1296
Grant1296

I'm still laughing because Eric Zeier owns your real team and your pretend team...

Techeye.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Dear tech fans, A bunch of us on here that graduated from UGA so your pathetic whining about being harrassed by non graduates does not hold water. Why are you here? Why would you subject yourself to this knowing you lost 13 of 15 and are owned? Embarrassing to lose that much to a rival. Go talk smack on the Weak Forrest blogs where you can at least have some pride.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

What site and what article are you posting on? Oh wait, same as everyday. You really are a complete joke.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Fired up are there OH:fake:OH. Cool your jets. The techster within you is strong today.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Last November we did. Called the governors cup and you are all too familiar with that arent you faker? Hurts doesnt it?Hurts so bad you show up all day everyday trying to deflect. Pathetic.

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

How about a free tat? Howmany does it take to VACATE and get a bowl ban again?

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Funny. Not in the record books.

VACATED!!!!!

Hahahahahaha

twelveofthirteen
twelveofthirteen

Like an obsessed fool dawgs are in your head 24/7. What a joke.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO @twelveofthirteen 

He was addressing GT fans. Ask them which game UGA's won virtually without fail for the past decade-and-a-half.

And it qualifies as a helluva lot more than "squat" for both teams.

DawgNole
DawgNole

@OH:IO

Doesn't count, liar.

That's what happens when you violate rules.

DawginLex
DawginLex

@DawgNole @OH:IO  Rules? They don't care about rules or morals or ethics or murder or pedophilia. They cover for players and hire coaches who cover that stuff up. Makes Ole Miss and Auburn look clean